Snapshot Report

Nigeria Stability Index Report

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NSINSI

Nigeria Stability Index

January 2026 final • Edition 2026

A calm snapshot of how Nigeria is holding together

5.2/10
Nigeria's Stability Today
Cautiously stable
Security
Security
3.8
Order holds despite threats.
FX & Economy
FX & Economy
6.0
Fragile, but stabilizing.
Investor Confidence
Investor Confidence
6.8
Capital is cautious.
Governance
Governance
4.5
Direction remains consistent.
Social Stability
Social Stability
5.0
Tensions ease; mood is calm.
Monthly State Highlight

Katsina State

Infrastructure Leading the Nation

Katsina State is recognised this month for achieving Open Defecation Free (ODF) status in January 2026, a major public health and social development milestone with direct impact on community wellbeing.

Open Defecation Free status means that communities across the state have successfully moved away from open defecation practices through the adoption of proper sanitation facilities, hygiene awareness, and behavioural change. This outcome contributes to improved public health, reduced disease risk, and a safer living environment, particularly in rural areas.

The milestone reflects sustained sanitation efforts and social intervention programmes that support dignity, health, and community stability at the grassroots level. Improvements in sanitation are closely linked to reductions in water-borne diseases, stronger household wellbeing, and overall social cohesion.

This recognition is based on a single, measurable and verifiable impact observed within the month of January and does not reflect overall state performance.

What Nigerians Said This Month

HopefulSteadyProgressingDemanding
Average Public Score
5.5/10

Sources / References

Sources pending.

Institution Highlight

Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC)

The Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC) is recognised this month for a measurable governance impact in January 2026 following the recovery and handover of ₦1.28 billion to the Enugu State Government from an unexecuted public project contract.

The recovered funds, linked to the Smart Green Schools project, were presented through the EFCC’s Enugu Zonal Office, enabling the state to redirect resources back into public development efforts. The action reflects a tangible outcome in accountability enforcement and recovery of public funds.

This type of financial recovery strengthens governance stability by reinforcing transparency, restoring lost public resources, and supporting the proper use of state funds for intended social and infrastructure needs.

Selection is based on the most significant verifiable national impact observed within the month and does not reflect overall institutional performance.

On-Ground Street Pulse

Insights gathered from live conversations across the six geo-political zones reveal a more grounded picture of how Nigerians experienced stability in January.

Security recorded one of the lowest sentiments on the streets, scoring 1/10, with many people expressing concern about safety, uncertainty, and everyday risks in their communities.

Governance followed at 2/10, reflecting low trust and a general feeling that visible impact is still limited in daily life. Social stability scored 3/10, with many respondents speaking about emotional fatigue, pressure on families, and the strain of rising living costs.

On the economic front, street sentiment was more balanced. FX and the broader economy recorded 6/10, as some people acknowledged signs of movement and activity, even though personal financial pressure remains high.

Investor confidence stood higher at 7/10, with many traders and small business owners still showing belief in opportunities despite the wider challenges.

Overall, the on-ground street pulse shows a country managing through pressure. While people recognise areas of progress, daily realities continue to shape how stability is felt across communities. Compared to online responses, the street sentiment appears more cautious and more emotionally driven, offering a deeper human perspective to the national picture.

NSINSI
Nigeria Stability Index (NSI)
Tracking security, economy, governance.
www.NigeriaStabilityIndex.org